Wildfire Incident Information
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OSM
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Fire Status
ACTIVE
Last Updated
4 mins, 58 secs ago
Fire Start
Tuesday, August 9, 2022 10:43 AM PDT
Incident #
2022-WAGPF-000743
Dispatch Notes
13n r10e sec 11
Primary Fire Agency

US Forest Service — Gifford Pinchot National Forest

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Current Weather

Fire Growth Potential

Fire Weather Forecast

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Incident Overview

Inciweb information was updated: 1 hour, 11 mins ago

Incident Photo for the Goat Rocks Fire

On August 9, the Goat Rocks Fire was started by a lightning strike in the Goat Rocks Wilderness. The fire has spread within the Wilderness and on adjacent land on the Gifford Pinchot National Forest. Most of the fire is burning in steep terrain with limited access, heavy fuels, and rocky bluffs.

On September 9, fire activity increased and evacuations were ordered for the town of Packwood and communities to the northeast of town. By September 11, conditions had improved and evacuation were lifted for Packwood and reduced for the communities of Timberline and Goat Rocks west of the fire. Fire personnel continue to patrol these communities.

On September 12, Northwest Incident Management Team 10 took command of the Goat Rocks Fire. They did extensive work on the fire before passing management to Nevada Incident Management Team 4 on September 25.

A direct approach to suppressing this fire has little chance of succeeding and carries high risks of injury or death to firefighting personnel. An indirect approach is being implemented, mostly using existing roads to the west and north of the fire as containment lines. These roads, including Forest Roads 46, 4610, 4612, 018, and 1266, are receiving fuels reduction treatments including cutting brush, removing some of the smaller trees in dense stands, and chipping the resulting woody debris. The fire has not reached most of these containment lines.

Fire activity increases during periods of warmer, drier, windy weather and decreases when temperatures and winds drop and humidity rises. Most of the fire spread has been through fuels on the ground, mainly large woody debris such as rotting logs. These larger fuels will continue to burn until they are fully consumed, actively extinguished along the containment lines, or soaked by rain and snow.

Public and firefighter safety remain the highest priority as crews work to contain the Goat Rocks Fire.

Basic Incident Details

Incident Type
Wildfire
Cause
Lightning
Date of Origin
Tuesday, August 9, 2022 9:45 AM PDT
Location
1.5 miles northeast of Packwood, Washington
Incident Commander
Erik Newell, Incident Commander
Incident Description
A wildfire burning in steep terrain and dense forests in and around the Goat Rocks Wilderness.
Coordinates
46.636, -121.517

Current Situation

Total Personnel
208
Size (Acres)
3,906
Estimated Containment
Saturday, October 15, 2022 5:00 PM PDT
Fuels Involved
Timber (Litter and Understory)
Closed Timber Litter
Timber (Grass and Understory)
Warming and drying trend continued through Tuesday. Primary fire behavior throughout the entire fire area was creeping, flanking, backing and smoldering. Heavy fuels continued to burn until consumed. Spread over the last several days exposed new fuels and potential.
Significant Events
Marine influence impacted the fire area Tuesday with an increase in relative humidity. This kept fine fuel moistures above the level associated with moderate fire growth. Some spread along hot edges was observed. Some moderate spread potential remains as winds are higher today than previous days. Small runs in surface fuels remain possible until fuel moistures respond to increased atmospheric moisture.

Planned Outlook

Planned Actions
Material removal and improvements will continue on the 1266 and 041 roads. Brush 48 road to Snyder Mountain. Monitor fire growth in Coal Creek drainage and suppress with helicopters. Assess potential for line creation into Coal Creek. Suppression repair will continue. Scout for potential helispot location. Assess and develop contingency plans on structures and power infrastructure at Packwood Lake.
Chipping continues on the 46 road from DP 10 to Highway 12 to remove woody debris left from road preparation. Hazard trees are being felled on 46 road by hand crews. Repair work is being done on the 018 road to repair culverts to meet repair standards.
Continue to patrol the Goat Rocks, Timberline, Upper Timberline and Grizzly subdivisions, interact with homeowners and look for areas to improve structure preparation. Improve structure protection on northwest end of Packwood Lake.
Suppression repair will be assessed or is ongoing on all divisions.
Projected Incident Activity
12 hours: Tuesday night, reductions in spread as fuels become unavailable. Smoke production will remain constant as heavy fuels consume during evening hours. Increased atmospheric moisture will significantly reduce spread into the late evening and early morning hours.
24 hours: Wednesday, reduction in fire spread and behavior with increase in atmospheric and precipitable moisture. Fire will continue to creep in sheltered locations, but large movement will be unlikely. Fire spread in exposed locations near ridge tops should also be reduced.
48 hours: Forecast precipitation on Thursday will greatly reduce spread and begin to remove heavy fuel from the fuel profile. Expect increased smoke production, extended burn down times, and minimal spread in surface fuels. Heavy fuels will continue to hold fire until substantial moisture impacts the fire area.
72 hours: Fire behavior will be minimal as conditions return to near normal for the area. Expect creeping and low intensity surface fire.

Weather Synopsis

Weather Concerns
On Tuesday, smoke thinned out of the Cowlitz valley after noon and transported east. Temperatures were around 80 with low relative humidity values near 25 percent on average as shallow marine air made it to the Cascades. Light east to southeasterly winds less than 10 mph over the incident area switched to southwest in the afternoon. Humidity recoveries in the morning were poor in the higher elevations.

Wednesday will be much different as a cold front moves through the region. There will be some light rain and higher afternoon humidity from 45 to 55 percent. Winds will generally be light in the morning but increase in the afternoon from the southwest on the ridges gusting to 20 mph in the Goat Rocks Fire area.

Expect a much cooler day Thursday with some mainly morning rain showers. Expect some drying and warming going into next weekend.

Fire Incident Contact

Incident Contact
Information Officer
Email: 2022.goatrocks@firenet.gov
Phone: 360-370-4168
Hours: SS 8-7p
Fire Unit Information
Gifford Pinchot National Forest
U.S. Forest Service
1501 E. Evergreen Blvd.
Vancouver, WA 98682

Dispatch Center Contact

Columbia Cascade Communication Center (WACCC)

Vancouver, WA

360-891-5140

https://gacc.nifc.gov/nwcc/districts/CCCC/