Following a round of lightning in the afternoon on August 2, four new fires were identified on the south end of the Mt. Hood National Forest. Three of the fires the Janus, Kola, and Ridge Fires were located in the southeast corner of the Bull of the Woods Wilderness in the Janus Butte area. The fourth fire, Round Lake Fire, was located in the east of the Bull of the Woods Wilderness. And a fifth fire, Ogre Creek Fire, was located on August 3 in the Round Lake area.
By August 18, the fires had expanded towards one another and joined to make up the Bull Complex (briefly called the Janus Complex). The Southern Area Gray Team was assigned the fires from August 13 through 21. The Great Basin Type 2 Team #4 was assigned to the Bull Complex from August 22 through September 3. The fire is currently being managed Northern Rockies Type 2 Team #4. A fire camp is located at the Timber Lake Job Corps Center at Ripplebrook to support the firefighters with food, water, supplies, and basic care items. The Willamette National Forest and Oregon Department of Forestry are both actively engaged with fire managers. Northern Rockies Team #4 is coordinating with all local jurisdictions and maintaining communications with impacted communities.
Area closures are in place on both the Willamette and Mt. Hood National Forests, along with the existing area closures from the 2020 Lionshead, Beachie, and Riverside Fires. Closure maps and detail information can be found in the closures tab section in InciWeb https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/closures/7773/ and by visiting the USFS Pacific Northwest Region: Emergency Closures webpage, https://usfs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=8e69381e35144962a835ee59aafba153.
Date of Origin:
Monday, August 2, 2021 12:00 AM PDT
12 miles NE of Detroit, OR
Brian Gales, Northwest Team 13
Estimated Containment Date:
Saturday, October 30, 2021 12:00 AM PDT
Timber (Litter and Understory) Closed Timber Litter
Low elevations and valley bottom grasses have cured and support active fire spread. Duff and litter (needles, leaves and other organic material) in shaded areas support spread and generate fire activity. Duff is burning deep in mature timber stands. Fuels at mid-elevation are receptive and actively spreading with brush becoming available with variable consumption. Dead trees in at mid-elevation are receptive and actively spreading with brush becoming available with variable consumption. Dead trees in old burns are generating problematic fire behavior. Steep slopes and areas of heavy dead and down are leading to a high resistance to control.
Higher elevations had moderate to poor RH recovery last evening. All fuels, dead and live, are currently contributing to fire growth. Fire moved approximately 1/2 mile in active areas (along the west and south lines). Observations from the line indicated moderate behavior with active backing, creeping, isolated torching of trees, and isolated uphill runs in the vicinity of Gold Butte Lookout.
-Division A/W burn out if needed from DP-2 south along the 4696 Road as the fire backs down into East Humbug Creek, East of DP-3 utilize firing if needed, to check the fire as it backs to the 6370 Road. Chip slash .created during road prep on the 6370 Road from the W / A break to DP2 and from the Division W /S break to DP-30.
-Division G/K, mop-up the fire along the 6350 Road from DP-121 to the Div G/D break. Patrol the spot fire below the 6350 Road, continue mop up while also continuing to prep the primary containment line for future burnout. Pull hose, pumps and porta tanks that are not needed, Grade the road from DPS west to the Division A/D break.
-Division P continue to prep the primary containment line for future burnout. Prepare and implement a structure tactical plan to protect Bagby Hot Springs. Suppression repair will begin where control lines and fire areas are in patrol status and no long pose a threat to incident containment. With the incoming weather, resources and tactics may be adjusted to adhere to fire fighter health and safety.
Projected Incident Activity:
12 hours: A cold front is moving in this-evening which will bring significant precipitation (up to 1/2") and cooler temperatures. Fire behavior is expected to be moderate in all areas, with primary spread being creeping and smoldering. Pockets of. dead and down fuels will conti11ue to consume. Overall spread of the fire will be minimal.
24 hours: The cold front with rain and cooler temperatures will persist over the incident. Fire behavior will be greatly reduced during this period with minimal spread from creeping and smoldering. There is a risk of debris flow onto roads especially in old burns.
48 hours: Continued cool and wet pattern forecast to persist through the weekend. Fire behavior is expected to be minimal, with pockets of heavy fuels that will continue to smolder. Little to no spread of fire is expected.
72 hours: Forecasted rains will begin to diminish Fire behavior is expected to remain minimal, with persistence of smoldering in heavier pockets of fuel.
Anticipated after 72 hours: A warming and drying trend is forecasted to return to the area by Tuesday. Fuels will slowly begin to dry out which will result in a gradual increase in fire behavior going into the next few days.
Block 48- 2 road grader with 4 personnel, 1 front end loader with 1 personnel, 3 chippers with 9 personnel, 7 log loaders with 14 personnel, 5 timber processor with 10 personnel are represented in the tracked vehicle column as 18/38 due to a lack of a category in the Resource Commitment Summary.
Subsidence inversions Friday morning resulted in poor RH recovery over the ridges. Max RH readings were in the 35-45% range, Dry air aloft over the area brought afternoon RH values down to the 15-25% range through 1500. Southwest ridgetop wind gusts to 20 mph had developed by mid-afternoon. A frontal system moves into the area late Friday night. Some light rain is possible late Friday evening, but the steadier, heavier rain is expected to occur late Friday night through Saturday morning. Up to an inch of rain is likely by Saturday afternoon. Breezy southwest wind continues Saturday with gusts to 25 mph. A slight chance of thunderstorms is possible Saturday afternoon. Another round of steadier precipitation, including a slight chance of thunderstorms occurs early Sunday morning and continues into the afternoon. Another inch of rainfall is possible Saturday night through Sunday, Afternoon temperatures over the weekend will only be in the 50s, with upper 40s on the highest ridges. High pressure begins to spread into the area Monday, but considerable cloud cover will keep afternoon temperatures below normal. Expect Monday high temperatures in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Minimum RH Monday remains elevated, generally 50-70%. Subsidence inversions are expected to settle over the ridges Thursday night. Ridge top RH values are likely to be around 25-35% by dawn. Increasing south to southwest wind occurs Friday ahead of an approaching frontal system. Wind gusts up to 30 mph are possible Friday afternoon. Morning subsidence inversions gradually erode Friday afternoon, with RH values climbing during the afternoon. High temperatures Friday are expected to be in the upper 60s to mid 70s. The frontal system moves into the area Friday night. Some light rain is possible Friday evening, but the steadier, heavier rain is expected to occur overnight through Saturday morning. Up to an inch of rain is likely by Saturday afternoon. Breezy southwest wind continues Saturday with gusts to 25 mph. A slight chance of thunderstorms is possible Saturday afternoon. Another round of steadier precipitation, including a slight chance of thunderstorms occurs early Sunday morning and continues into the afternoon. Another inch of rainfall is possible Saturday night through Sunday. Afternoon temperatures Sunday will only be in the 50s, with upper 40s on the highest ridges.
Public Information Email: 2021.Bull@Firenet.gov Phone: 971-277-5075 Hours: 8 AM - 8 PM
Fire Unit Information
Mt. Hood National Forest U.S. Forest Service Oregon Sandy, OR 97055