Terrain
Satellite
OSM
Cub Creek 2
FIRE
70,186
acres
12.6 mi
NNW of Twisp, WA
90%
contained
Fire Status:
ACTIVE
Last Updated:
1 min, 41 secs ago
Incident #:
2021-WANES-000373
Fire Start:
Friday, July 16, 2021 2:27 PM PDT
Fuels:
Grass, Shrub, Timber
Primary Fire Agency

Department of Natural Resources — Northeast Region

Current Weather

Fire Growth Potential

Fire Weather Forecast

Incident Overview Updated: 1 day, 20 hours ago

Incident Photo for the Cub Creek 2 Fire

9-20-2021:  Minimal fire behavior with backing, creeping, and smoldering activity occurred on the Cedar Creek and Cub Creek 2 fires this week. The 55,572-acre Cedar Creek is now 87% contained and Cub Creek Fire, at 70,186 acres, is 90% contained. No activity was observed on the Delancy Fire. Temperatures will remain cool, but humidity values will begin to drop compared to the previous two days. Fire spread is anticipated to be limited to interior pockets and along the active fire perimeter in remote terrain with mainly smoldering and creeping behavior. Crews and heavy equipment continue to complete suppression repair across both fire areas, repairing firelines, felling hazard trees along roads, chipping debris, and repairing roads damaged by suppression activity.

Basic Information

Incident Type:
Wildfire
Cause:
Undetermined
Date of Origin:
Friday, July 16, 2021 1:27 PM PDT
Location:
5 miles north of Winthrop, WA
Incident Commander:
Matt Ellis, trainee is Brian Campbell
Coordinates:
48.552, -120.194

Current Situation

Total Personnel:
44
Size (Acres):
70,186
Containment:
90%
Estimated Containment Date:
Friday, October 1, 2021 12:00 AM PDT
Fuels Involved:
Brush (2 feet)
Closed Timber Litter
Timber (Litter and Understory)

Primary carrier of the fire is timber litter with large wood and moisture stressed brush.
Significant Events:
Minimal
Creeping
Smoldering

Planned Outlook

Planned Actions:
Continue mop up operations and back haul any excess equipment.

Continue work on suppression repair in coordination with Resource Advisors.
Projected Incident Activity:
12 hours: d spread potential. Little additional fire growth is anticipated in the next 12 hours.
24 hours: Seasonal temperatures and relative humidity values above 25% should limit spread potential. Interior pockets and the active fire perimeter in remote terrain are expected to have mostly creeping fire behavior with occasional tree torching.
48 hours: Seasonal temperatures and relative humidity values above 25% should limit spread potential. Interior pockets and the active fire perimeter in remote terrain are expected to have mostly creeping fire behavior with occasional tree torching.
72 hours: A dry cold front is expected to pass over the fire area on Wednesday, September 15, bringing the chance for high winds. Minimum relative humidity values are not currently expected to drop below 30% so the chances for significant spread potential are not high but additional fire growth is expected.
Anticipated after 72 hours: A significant rain event is expected next weekend (Sep. 17-19) bringing the chance for widespread wetting rains and cooler temperatures. Incident activity and potential movement are anticipated to be low.
Remarks:
Acres by ownership:

Private- 672 ac.
State- 798 ac.
USFWS 173 ac.
USFS- 68,525 ac.
Fire cause remains under investigation. Aviation assets are shared with the Cedar Creek Fire

Weather Synopsis

Weather Concerns:
Yet another weak cold front passed over the fires during the first half of the day. The main impact was considerable cloudiness over most locations, a few sprinkles near the western edge of the Cedar Creek Fire this morning and thunderstorms by early afternoon about 15 miles northeast of the Cub Creek 2 fire. Mostly sunny skies prevailed during the latter half of the afternoon with high temperatures in the mid-60s over the ridges and middle upper 70s in the valley and northwest wind gusts of 15-20 mph.

Incident Contact

Incident Contact
Methow Valley Ranger District
Phone: 509-996-4000
Hours: M-F 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.
Fire Unit Information
Okanogan-Wenatchee National Forest
U.S. Forest Service
215 Melody Lane
Wenatchee, WA 98801

Dispatch Contact

Central Washington Interagency Center | Wenatchee, WA
509-884-3473
https://gacc.nifc.gov/nwcc/districts/CWICC